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2024-12-13 12:36:41
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FTSE China A50 index futures opened 0.80% lower, and closed down 0.89% in the last session.Industrial Securities: The valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position. The Industrial Securities Research Report pointed out that we should continue to be optimistic about the insurance sector and focus on the targets with better performance stability and stronger dividend insurance sales ability. At present, the valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position, but as a strong beta plate, if the equity market further picks up, it may also perform well. There are three catalytic points for the further opening of the subsequent valuation space: first, the long-term interest rate and the performance of the equity market; Second, the adjustment and optimization process of the asset structure of insurance enterprises; The third is the sales situation of dividend insurance. In particular, dividend insurance sales may exceed expectations, and if verified, it will become an important support for opening up the repair space of insurance valuation. Suggested attention: China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life Insurance, etc.Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)


The three major stock indexes opened lower and went lower. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index all fell more than 1%, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.88%.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission was held in Seoul, South Korea. On the 12th, Vice Minister of Commerce Li Fei co-chaired the 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission with Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Jiang Renxian in Seoul, South Korea. The two sides exchanged views on deepening China-ROK industrial chain supply chain, trade and investment, regional and multilateral cooperation, pragmatically promoted related matters, and reached broad consensus.


The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 500 billion.Shangpin home delivery and Shulan signed a strategic cooperation agreement. According to Shangpin home delivery, on December 11th, Shangpin home delivery and Shulan formally signed a strategic cooperation agreement at Changshun Group headquarters. The two sides will break through the customized track, explore the path of "customization+software" integration and co-construction, jointly explore market channels, and provide consumers with more convenient, personalized and professional home solutions through integrated and integrated ecological scenarios.Leader of the largest opposition party in South Korea: Impeachment is the most reliable way to end the chaos. Li Zaiming, leader of the Common Democratic Party, the largest opposition party in South Korea, said in a statement on the 13th that impeachment is the quickest and most reliable way to end the chaos. Li Zaiming said that President Yin Xiyue tried to cover up the crime with lies, and Yin Xiyue, the "culprit of civil strife", should step down immediately. He also called on members of the ruling National Power Party to vote in favor of the second vote of the presidential impeachment motion on the 14th. (Xinhua News Agency)

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